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Saturday, May 17, 2014

SPX Technical Analysis May 19-23, 2014

FOR 5/19 SPX resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 1895.94, R2 1887.11, R1 1882.48
Pivot Point 1873.65
Support  S1 1869.65,  S2 1860.19, S3 1855.56

For Weekly 5/19-5/23 SPX weekly resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 1939.04, R2 1920.60, R1 1899.23
Pivot Point 1880.79
Support S1 1859.42, S2 1840.98, S3 1819.61

The USA stock market another week in which a new all time high was sold off. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.3%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.7%, and the DJ World index was +0.2%. Economic reports came in about 2 to 1 to the positive. On the up tick: retail sales, business inventories, the PPI/CPI, the NY FED, housing starts, building permits, the WLEI, the monetary base, plus, weekly jobless claims improved and the treasury ran a surplus. On the downtick: export/import prices, industrial production, the Philly FED, the NAHB index, and consumer sentiment. Next week few economic reports, but we do have the FOMC minutes plus existing/new home sales.

Short term support is at the 1869 pivot and SPX 1860, with resistance at the 1901 and 1929 pivots. Short term momentum ended the week slightly overbought. The short term OEW charts are positive with the reversal level at SPX 1873.

As we can observe from the above chart the price activity in the SPX has remained in a narrow range since March. For the most part between the OEW 1841 and 1901 pivots. During a bull market these consolidations are usually bullish. But after a five year bull market they can also be considered to be a topping formation. This kind of action has kept many pundits guessing the next major move in this market. When one compares the SPX daily chart with the NAZ daily chart, both above, it is quite clear why the SPX has been in a trading range. The NAZ has been heading lower for most of that period. An upside surge in that index, which is expected eventually, will certainly usher in an upside breakout in the SPX.

Support for the SPX remains at 1868, 1850, 1841 and then 1800 resistance at 1891 and then 1902.Best to your trading what sets up to be a wild week ahead.

FOREIGN MARKETS

The Asian markets were mostly higher on the week for a net gain of 1.5%.
The European markets were mostly lower for as net loss of 1.2%.
The Commodity equity group were mostly higher gaining 1.3%.
The DJ World index continues to uptrend and gained 0.2%.

COMMODITIES

Bonds continue their uptrend gaining 0.5% on the week.
Crude is still in a downtrend but gained 2.1% on the week.
Gold continues to act choppy, getting no support from Silver, and it appears its downtrend is continuing. Yet it gained 0.3% on the week.
The USD looks like it is up trending and gained 0.2% on the week.

NEXT WEEK

Earning Calendar May 19-23, 2014


Wednesday: the FOMC minutes at 2pm. Thursday: weekly Jobless claims, Existing home sales and Leading indicators. Friday: New home sales. Also on Wednesday FED chairman Yellen gives a speech at 11:30. Looks like a technical week ahead for the markets. Best to your weekend and week!

Take a look some market indicator charts- Click all charts
$SPX - 60 min
SPX DAILY CHARTS
QUICK LOOK ALL MAJOR INDEX WEEKLY

$SPX with component chart 
$VIX
$CPC daily
QQQQ Daily 
COMPQ


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