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Saturday, April 12, 2014

SPX Technical Analysis April 14-18 2014

FOR 4/14 SPX resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 1849.76, R2 1842.41, R1 1829.05
Pivot Point 1821.70
Support  S1 1808.34,  S2 1800.99, S3 1787.63

For Weekly 4/14-4/18 SPX weekly resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 1912.19, R2 1892.36, R1 1854.02
Pivot Point 1834.19
Support S1 1795.85, S2 1776.02, S3 1737.68

The USA stock volatile and somewhat disappointing week for the bulls. The week started off with a gap down on Monday, followed by a tradable low at SPX 1837 on Tuesday. Then after a rally to SPX 1873 at Thursday’s open, the market sold off rapidly into Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were -2.50%, the NDX/NAZ were -2.85%, and the DJ World index was -2.0%. Economic reports for the week, oddly enough, were all to the upside. On the uptick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories, export/import prices, the PPI, consumer sentiment, the WLEI, the M1-multiplier, plus the budget deficit and weekly jobless claims both improved. Next week we get reports on the FED’s beige book, Industrial production, the NY/Philly FED and Housing.

When reviewing the SPX should find support around 1800. If this level does not hold, and the downtrend creates more of a channel than a rising wedge. Then our alternate count, in green on the daily chart, would suggest a retest of SPX 1738. We are likely to find out which count is in play this week. Medium term support is at the SPX 1779 and 1699 pivots, with resistance at the 1828 and 1841 pivots.

Short term support is at SPX 1814, SPX 1800, with resistance at the 1828 and 1841 pivots. Short term momentum ended the week oversold, with a positive divergence. The short term OEW charts remain negative from SPX 1860, with the reversal level now 1846.

Support for the SPX remains at 1800, 1790, 1762 and then 1737 resistance at 1835 and then 1841.Best to your trading what sets up to be a wild week ahead.

FOREIGN MARKETS

The Asian markets were quite mixed ending -0.1%.
The European markets were all lower losing 3.7%.
The Commodity equity group was mixed for a loss of 0.6%.
The DJ World index is still up trending but lost 2.0%.

COMMODITIES

Bonds are getting close to confirming an uptrend and gained 0.9% on the week.
Crude is still up trending and gained 2.7% on the week.
Gold is trying to establish and uptrend and gained 1.3% on the week.
The USD appears to be down trending again losing 1.2% on the week.

NEXT WEEK

Earning Calender April 14-18, 2014

Monday: Retails sales at 8:30, then Business inventories at 10am. Tuesday: the CPI, NY FED and NAHB housing index. Wednesday: Housing starts, Building permits, Industrial production and the FED’s Beige book. Thursday: weekly Jobless claims and the Philly FED. The FED has several speeches scheduled this week. Sunday: FED governor Stein at 1:30. Tuesday: FED chair Yellen at 8:45. Wednesday: FED governor Stein at 8:15, and FED chair Yellen at 12:45. Best to your weekend and week!

Take a look some market indicator charts- Click all charts
$SPX - 60 min
SPX DAILY CHARTS
QUICK LOOK ALL MAJOR INDEX WEEKLY

$SPX with component chart 
$VIX
$CPC daily
QQQQ Daily 
COMPQ


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