For Weekly 2/24-2/28 SPX weekly resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 1873.89, R2 1861.69, R1 1848.97
Pivot Point 1836.77
Support S1 1824.09, S2 1811.88, S3 1799.13
Even though it was a holiday shortened week the market
finished a rally on Wednesday at SPX 1848, dipped to 1825 by Thursday, then
started another rally. For the week the SPX/DOW
were -0.20%, the NDX/NAZ were mixed, and the DJ World index was +0.60%.
Economic reports came in slightly lower for the third week in a row. On the
uptick: the CPI/PPI, leading indicators, the
monetary base, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the
NY/Philly FED, the NAHB index, housing
starts, building permits, existing home sales and the WLEI. Next week we get Q4
GDP, Durable goods orders and more Housing
reports.
Short term support is at the 1828 pivot and SPX 1814, with
resistance at the 1841 pivot and SPX 1851. Short term momentum declined to
slightly oversold, after Friday’s oversold condition. The short term OEW charts
remain positive with the reversal level now SPX 1835.
Thus far, from the SPX 1738 low, the market has impulsed
higher: five waves up to SPX 1848: 1788-1777-1827-1809-1848. We then had a
pullback this week to SPX 1825, and now a rally to 1846 and pullback to 1836.
There are a few ways of counting this advance and this is the reason we have
not posted any labels on it.
For the Intermediate wave count the 110 point rally,
1738-1848, as Minor 1. Then the pullback to 1825 as all/or part of Minor 2.
Since the pullback was much shorter than expected for a Minor 2, the entire 110
point rally could also have been just Minute one of Minor 1. For the Minor wave
B scenario. We could count the 110 point rally as wave a of an ongoing Minor B
zigzag, and the decline to 1825 as wave b. This would make the current rally
from that low wave c. As you can see there are a multitude of potential short
term counts.
Support for the SPX remains at 1820, 1800, 1780 and then
1750, resistance at 1841 and then 1851.Best to your trading what sets up to be
a wild week ahead. Best to your trading!
FOREIGN MARKETS
The Asian markets were mostly higher on the week for a net
gain of 1.8%.
The European markets were quite mixed and only gained 0.1%.
The Commodity equity group was mostly lower losing 1.2%.
The DJ World index gained 0.6%.
COMMODITIES
Bonds continue to uptrend but lost 0.1%.
Crude continues its uptrend and gained 1.8%.
Gold is also uptrending gaining 0.4%.
The USD remains in a downtrend but gained 0.2%.