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Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Apple Inc (AAPL) Stock Technical Analysis July 25, 2012

The following is technical analysis on Apple Inc (AAPL) stock for July 25, 2012 
 

Apple Inc AAPL Resistance, pivot & Support Levels – 7/25/2012

Resistance levels: $615.29, $606.24, $590.10


Pivot point: $578.05

Support levels: $556.91, $546.86, $523.72




Share of Apple Inc. (AAPL) is trading over $560 ah on Tuesday because of miss earning.Apple (AAPL): FQ3 EPS of $9.32 misses by $1.04. Revenue of $35B (+22% Y/Y) misses by $2.5B. 26M iPhones sold, 17M iPads, 4M Macs.The company is guiding for FQ4 revenue of $34B and EPS of $7.65, below a consensus of $38B and $10.22. iPhone sales miss consensus, iPads beat. Gross margin of 42.8%, down 460 bps Q/Q (due to mix shift towards iPads) and up 120 bps Y/Y.  6.8M iPods sold, -10% Y/Y. Americas revenue +26%, Europe +16%, Japan +33%. Asia-Pac (led by China) +25% Y/Y but -22% Q/Q. Retail +17% Y/Y. $2.65/share dividend declared.Cash/investment balance reached $118B at end of FQ3, up from $110B at end of FQ2. Opex +35% Y/Y to $3.4B, surpassing revenue growth. iPhone revenue +22% Y/Y (major slowdown from FQ2's 85%), implied ASP of $625 (down from FQ2's $646). iPad revenue +52% (was +132% in FQ2), implied ASP of $538. Mac desktops -19%, Mac notebooks +3%.Mentioned during Apple's FQ3 call: China iPhone sales doubled Y/Y (total sales were up 3x last quarter). Asia-Pac Q/Q decline due to Chinese iPhone inventory adjustments (suggests channel was stuffed in FQ2). iPad channel inventories up by 2.1M. iPhone weakness in France/Italy/Germany. iTunes revenue of $1.8B, down slightly Q/Q. 2x Y/Y increase in iPad sales to education, 3x to Fortune 500. 1.3M Apple TVs sold (+170% Y/Y). Gross margin expected to fall to 38.5% in FQ4. AAPL -5.1%

Next short term support area is $550. Apple has next resistance $580.Long term support level 200 ema.I think stock is buy under $500 any market correction.Is Apple Inc. (AAPL) should trade $700 in 2012?. This is my one of the Top Pick for 2012.

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