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Saturday, December 7, 2013

Barron's top picks for 2014

Barron's top picks for 2014

Barron's top 10 stock picks for 2014 shows an affinity for low P/E ratios, with 6 of the group sporting multiples of 10 or lower. The 2013 picks - which are up 35.2% on average, 900 bps ahead of the S&P 500 - had five names with single-digit P/Es. This year's list:

A depressed play on a depressed commodity, don't be surprised if Barrick Gold (ABX) gets the attention of an activist investor next year.

Up just 11% YTD, Canadian Natural Resources' (CNQ) free cash flow is set to quintuple to $5B in 2018 once the Horizon oil-sands facility expansion is completed.

A rising world population needs food. At less than 10x earnings, Deere (DE) is the kind of company Warren Buffett might like to buy if it became available. "Stranger things have happened," writes Andrew Bary.

Even after gaining 55% YTD, MetLife (MET) sells for less than 10x 2014 EPS and just above book value, but bigger gains are ahead once the company is given regulatory permission to buy back stock and boost its dividend. Met's also a good hedge against rising rates, as life insurers will benefit by having higher yields to invest in.

The rest:
Citigroup (C)
GM
Intel (INTC)
Nestle (NSRGY, NSRGF)
Simon Property (SPG)
U.S. Airways (LCC)


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SPX Support, Resistance, Moving Averages and Other Important Levels for Trading the Week of Dec- 9-13, 2013

FOR 12/9 SPX resistance, pivot &  support
Resistance R3 1828.98, R2 1817.51, R1 1811.30
Pivot Point 1799.83
Support  S1 1793.62,  S2 1782.15, S3 1775.94


For Weekly 12/9 -12/13 SPX weekly resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 1841.34, R2 1823.69, R1 1814.39
Pivot Point 1796.74
Support S1 1787.44, S2 1769.79, S3 1760.49

The USA stock market a new all time high last Friday the market traded lower all week. Then Friday’s Payrolls report was released and the market nearly managed to get back the entire loss in just one day. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.2%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.3%, and the DJ World index lost 0.9%. Economic reports for the week were overwhelmingly positive. On the up tick: ISM manufacturing, construction spending, auto sales, the ADP, new home sales, Q3 GDP, monthly Payrolls, personal spending, the PCE, consumer sentiment, consumer credit, the M1-multiplier, the monetary base, the WLEI; plus weekly jobless claims, the unemployment rate and the trade deficit all improved. On the downtick: ISM services, factory orders, personal income and investor sentiment. Next week we get a look at retail sales, inventories and the PPI. Best to your week.

Short term support is at the 1779 pivot and SPX 1746, with resistance at SPX 1810, SPX 1818 and the 1828 pivot. Short term momentum ended the week overbought. The short term OEW charts are positive with the reversal level SPX 1797.

Support for the SPX remains at 1800, 1779 and then 1759, resistance at 1814 and then 1818.

FOREIGN MARKETS
 
The Asian markets were mostly lower on the week for a net loss of 1.3%. Fifty percent are in confirmed downtrends.

The European markets were all lower on the week for a net loss of 3.1%. Seventy-five percent are in confirmed downtrends.

The Commodity equity group were all lower on the week for a net loss of 1.5%. All three indices are in confirmed downtrends.

The DJ World index is still uptrending but lost 0.9% on the week. Currently 65% of the world’s indices are in confirmed downtrends.

COMMODITIES

Bonds continue to downtrend losing 0.8% on the week.

Crude is uptrending again and gained 5.4% on the week.

Gold remains in a downtrend losing 1.7% on the week.

The USD is downtrending again losing 0.5% on the week.

NEXT WEEK


Tuesday: Wholesale inventories. Wednesday: Treasury budget. Thursday: weekly Jobless claims, Retail sales, Export/Import prices and Business inventories. Friday: the PPI. The FED has nothing scheduled until the FOMC meeting on the 17th and 18th. Best to your week and Holiday season.

Take a look some market indicator charts- Click all charts
$SPX - 60 min
SPX DAILY CHARTS
QUICK LOOK ALL MAJOR INDEX WEEKLY

$SPX with component chart 
$VIX
$CPC daily
QQQQ Daily 
COMPQ


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Twitter Inc. (NYSE: TWTR) Stock Technical Analysis December 9, 2013

The following is technical analysis on Twitter Inc. (NYSE: TWTR) stock for December 9, 2013
Twitter Inc. (NYSE: TWTR) Resistance, pivot &  Support Levels – 12/9/2013

Resistance levels:

Pivot point:
Support levels:
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Share of Twitter Inc. (NYSE: TWTR) is trading over $44.Twitter Inc. (NYSE: TWTR) has resistance $50 and support at $38.80. This stock only for day trade now but longer term buy will be under $20 near future My Membership people know when  buy and sell option or stock in daily basis which very good profitable trade last few weeks in call and put side. More analysis in TWTR

Technical Analysis Stock Charts: Charts Below
Live chart


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Facebook, Inc. (FB) Technical Analysis December 9, 2013

The following is Facebook, Inc. (FB) Technical analysis for  December 9, 2013

Facebook, Inc. (FB) Resistance, pivot & Support Levels - 12/9/2013

Resistance levels:
Pivot point:
Support levels:
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Share of Facebook, Inc. (FB) is closed over $47. FB has next resistance area $50-$55 which is over ipo high few days back. If you follow me my analysis I was keep telling $45-$46 was good buy last weeks and my stop will be $43 now.FB is buy near $40 any weakness My Membership people know when  buy and sell option or stock in daily basis which very good profitable trade last few weeks in stock or call and put side.How to trade in  Facebook, Inc. (FB) get my Membership Access. Here is live chart to look for trade.       
   
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Apple Inc (AAPL) Stock Technical Analysis December 9, 2013

The following is technical analysis on Apple Inc (AAPL) stock for December 9, 2013
Apple Inc AAPL Resistance, pivot &  Support Levels – 12/9/2013

Resistance levels:

Pivot point:
Support levels:
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Share of Apple Inc. (AAPL) stock is trading over  $560. Everyone is expected to have a great holiday quarter and Carl Icahn remains bullish on the stock. Apple (AAPL) is a strong buy on a drop below $500 for the long term. Apple (AAPL) will now have resistance located at $570-$580. Apple (AAPL) will continue to do well as long as Carl Icahn is pumping the stock same like nflx stock because he is holding nflx from $65. Apple (AAPL) will have strong support in the $470s.Membership people know when  buy and sell option or stock in daily basis which very good profitable trade last few weeks in call and put side.How to trade in apple get my Membership Access. Apple Inc. (AAPL) should trade $600-$700 in 2014?. This is my one of the Top Pick for 2013. 

Technical Analysis Stock Charts: Charts Below
60m chart
Daily chart
Weekly chart
 

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Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) Stock Technical Analysis December 9, 2013

The following is technical analysis on Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) stock for December 9, 2013

Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) Resistance, pivot &  Support Levels – 12/9/2013 

Resistance levels:  
Pivot point:  
Support levels: 
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Share of Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) trading over $137.Share of Tesla (TSLA) is up because Tesla Says German Agency’s Review Clears Model S Car AfterFires .Tesla (TSLA) will have resistance at $145.81-$150.Now with support between $130-$135. The next big pop will be U.S Gov't exonerating Model S another pop stock could see $200 area. Tesla (TSLA) has support at $118 which is 200 ema day moving average. . Tesla (TSLA) has dropped from $180 to $135 over the past two weeks. Stock should rebound from $110 area for long term buy may be with tight $105 tight stop. My Membership people know when  buy and sell option or stock in daily basis which very good profitable trade last few weeks in call and put side or stock buy or short side.

Technical Analysis Stock Charts: Charts Below
Daily chart


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Merrill Lynch unveils its top 10 stocks to buy for 2014 -12/7/13

Merrill Lynch unveils its top 10 stocks to buy for 2014

BofA Merrill Lynch is a more cautious buyer of stocks after this year's gains, and its top 10 large-cap stocks to buy for 2014 are mostly under-owned and unloved on Wall Street:

Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM)
Caterpillar (CAT)
CenturyLink (CTL)
Citigroup (C)
Cisco (CSCO)
DaVita (DVA)
Exxon (XOM)
General Motors Company (GM)
NextEra Energy (NEE)
Nucor (NUE).

On CAT, the Lynch analysts point to high foreign sales prospects for 2014, and see strength in energy-related profits offsetting weakness in global mining; the firm has a $100 price target vs. ~$90 consensus.

XOM is considered inexpensive compared to many large-cap energy names, it is expected to continue its large share buyback program and should increase the dividend; Lynch's target is $110 vs. $96 consensus.

NUE is the ultimate contrarian play, as Wall Street is underwhelmed by steel stocks, but Lynch sees a rebound in commercial building as a big boost for 2014 earnings; the firm has a $60 target vs. $55 consensus.

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