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Sunday, December 15, 2013

The Top 10 Best Candlestick Patterns - 12/15/13

There are many candlestick patterns but only a few are actually worth knowing. Here are 10 candlestick patterns worth looking for. Remember that these patterns are only useful when you understand what is happening in each pattern.
They must be combined with other forms of technical analysis to really be useful. For example, when you see one of these patterns on the daily chart, move down to the hourly chart. Does the hourly chart agree with your expectations on the daily chart? If so, then the odds of a reversal increase.
The following patterns are divided into two parts: Bullish patterns and bearish patterns. These are reversal patterns that show up after a pullback (bullish patterns) or a rally (bearish patterns).

Bullish candlestick patterns

bullish candlestick patterns
Ok, let's begin with the first one...

Engulfing

This is my all time favorite candlestick pattern. This pattern consists of two candles. The first day is a narrow range candle that closes down for the day. The sellers are still in control of the stock but because it is a narrow range candle and volatility is low, the sellers are not very aggressive. The second day is a wide range candle that "engulfs" the body of the first candle and closes near the top of the range. The buyers have overwhelmed the sellers (demand is greater than supply). Buyers are ready to take control of this stock!

Hammer

As discussed on the previous page, the stock opened, then at some point the sellers took control of the stock and pushed it lower. By the end of the day, the buyers won and had enough strength to close the stock at the top of the range. Hammers can develop after a cluster of stop loss orders are hit. That's when professional traders come in to grab shares at a lower price.

Harami

When you see this pattern the first thing that comes to mind is that the momentum preceding it has stopped. On the first day you see a wide range candle that closes near the bottom of the range. The sellers are still in control of this stock. Then on the second day, there is only a narrow range candle that closes up for the day. Note: Do not confuse this pattern with the engulfing pattern. The candles are opposite!

Piercing

This is also a two-candle reversal pattern where on the first day you see a wide range candle that closes near the bottom of the range. The sellers are in control. On the second day you see a wide range candle that has to close at least halfway into the prior candle. Those that shorted the stock on first day are now sitting at a loss on the rally that happens on the second day. This can set up a powerful reversal.

Doji

The doji is probably the most popular candlestick pattern. The stock opens up and goes nowhere throughout the day and closes right at or near the opening price. Quite simply, it represents indecision and causes traders to question the current trend. This can often trigger reversals in the opposite direction. Learn more about how to trade a doji candlestick pattern.

Bearish candlestick patterns

bearish candlestick patterns
You'll notice that all of these bearish patterns are the opposite of the bullish patterns. These patterns come after a rally and signify a possible reversal just like the bullish patterns.
Ok, now it's your turn! I'll let you figure out what is happening in each of the patterns above to cause these to be considered bearish. Look at each candle and try to get into the minds of the traders involved in the candle.

Kickers

There is one more pattern worthy of mention. A "kicker" is sometimes referred to as the most powerful candlestick pattern of all.
kicker candlestick patterns
You can see in the above graphic why this pattern is so explosive. Like most candle patterns there is a bullish and bearish version. In the bullish version, the stock is moving down and the last red candle closes at the bottom of the range.
Then, on the next day, the stock gaps open above the previous days high and close. This "shock event" forces short sellers to cover and brings in new traders on the long side.
This is reversed in the bearish version.


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Time Tested Classic Trading Rules for the Modern Trader to Live By

This is a list of classic trading rules that was given to me while on the trading floor in 1984. A senior trader collected these rules from classic trading literature throughout the twentieth century. They obviously withstand the age-old test of time.

I'm sure most everybody knows these truisms in their hearts, but this list is nicely edited and makes a good read.


    Plan your trades. Trade your plan.

    Keep records of your trading results.

    Keep a positive attitude, no matter how much you lose.

    Don't take the market home.

    Continually set higher trading goals.

    Successful traders buy into bad news and sell into good news.

    Successful traders are not afraid to buy high and sell low.

    Successful traders have a well-scheduled planned time for studying the markets.

    Successful traders isolate themselves from the opinions of others.

    Continually strive for patience, perseverance, determination, and rational action.

    Limit your losses - use stops!

    Never cancel a stop loss order after you have placed it!

    Place the stop at the time you make your trade.

    Never get into the market because you are anxious because of waiting.

    Avoid getting in or out of the market too often.

    Losses make the trader studious - not profits. Take advantage of every loss to improve your knowledge of market action.

    The most difficult task in speculation is not prediction but self-control. Successful trading is difficult and frustrating. You are the most important element in the equation for success.

    Always discipline yourself by following a pre-determined set of rules.

    Remember that a bear market will give back in one month what a bull market has taken three months to build.

    Don't ever allow a big winning trade to turn into a loser. Stop yourself out if the market moves against you 20% from your peak profit point.

    You must have a program, you must know your program, and you must follow your program.

    Expect and accept losses gracefully. Those who brood over losses always miss the next opportunity, which more than likely will be profitable.

    Split your profits right down the middle and never risk more than 50% of them again in the market.

    The key to successful trading is knowing yourself and your stress point.

    The difference between winners and losers isn't so much native ability as it is discipline exercised in avoiding mistakes.

    In trading as in fencing there are the quick and the dead.

    Speech may be silver but silence is golden. Traders with the golden touch do not talk about their success.

    Dream big dreams and think tall. Very few people set goals too high. A man becomes what he thinks about all day long.

    Accept failure as a step towards victory.

    Have you taken a loss? Forget it quickly. Have you taken a profit? Forget it even quicker! Don't let ego and greed inhibit clear thinking and hard work.

    One cannot do anything about yesterday. When one door closes, another door opens. The greater opportunity always lies through the open door.

    The deepest secret for the trader is to subordinate his will to the will of the market. The market is truth as it reflects all forces that bear upon it. As long as he recognizes this he is safe. When he ignores this, he is lost and doomed.

    It's much easier to put on a trade than to take it off.

    If a market doesn't do what you think it should do, get out.

    Beware of large positions that can control your emotions. Don't be overly aggressive with the market. Treat it gently by allowing your equity to grow steadily rather than in bursts.

    Never add to a losing position.

    Beware of trying to pick tops or bottoms.

    You must believe in yourself and your judgement if you expect to make a living at this game.

    In a narrow market there is no sense in trying to anticipate what the next big movement is going to be - up or down.

    A loss never bothers me after I take it. I forget it overnight. But being wrong and not taking the loss - that is what does the damage to the pocket book and to the soul.

    Never volunteer advice and never brag of your winnings.

    Of all speculative blunders, there are few greater than selling what shows a profit and keeping what shows a loss.

    Standing aside is a position.

    It is better to be more interested in the market's reaction to new information than in the piece of news itself.

    If you don't know who you are, the markets are an expensive place to find out.

    In the world of money, which is a world shaped by human behavior, nobody has the foggiest notion of what will happen in the future. Mark that word - Nobody! Thus the successful trader does not base moves on what supposedly will happen but reacts instead to what does happen.

    Except in unusual circumstances, get in the habit of taking your profit too soon. Don't torment yourself if a trade continues winning without you. Chances are it won't continue long. If it does, console yourself by thinking of all the times when liquidating early reserved gains that you would have otherwise lost.

    When the ship starts to sink, don't pray - jump!

    Lose your opinion - not your money.

    Assimilate into your very bones a set of trading rules that works for you.

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Saturday, December 14, 2013

SPX Support, Resistance, Moving Averages and Other Important Levels for Trading the Week of Dec- 16-20, 2013

FOR 12/16 SPX resistance, pivot &  support
Resistance R3 1805.14, R2 1898.02, R1 1786.67
Pivot Point 1779.52
Support  S1 1768.26,  S2 1761.09, S3 1749.72


For Weekly 12/16 -12/20 SPX weekly resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 1839.48, R2 1825.50, R1 1800.41
Pivot Point 1786.43
Support S1 1761.34 S2 1747.36, S3 1722.27

The USA stock market after hitting a rebound high at SPX 1812 early Monday the market experienced its first real, (not a point or two), week over week decline since late September. And its largest weekly decline since the last downtrend. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.65%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.45%, and the DJ World lost 1.45%. On the economic front positive economic reports again outpaced negative ones. On the up tick: wholesale/business inventories, retail sales, export/import prices, the monetary base, plus the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: the PPI, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week is FED week, plus we get reports on Capacity utilization, Housing and Q3 GDP. Should be an interesting week before the following holiday week.

If we count in Wave labeling from the SPX 1814 was adjusted down one degree. Primary wave downtrends unfold in three Major waves, with each declining Major wave three Intermediate waves. Thus far we can count Minor a: 1786-1800-1779, Minor b: 1796-1783-1812, and Minor c: 1772-1783-1772 so far. If Minor c ended at SPX 1772, this would complete Intermediate wave A. And the market could rally into the SPX 1790′s. If not, and the market continues its decline below SPX 1772 the next support is probably around 1746.

Short term support is at SPX 1746 and SPX 1730, with resistance at the 1779 pivot and SPX 1814. Short term momentum continues to display a positive divergence. The short term OEW charts remain negative with the reversal level now SPX 1786.

Support for the SPX remains at 1772, 1765 and then 1759, resistance at 1789 and then 1800.

FOREIGN MARKETS
 
The Asian markets were nearly all lower on the week for a net loss of 1.1%. Four of the eight indices we track are in confirmed downtrends.

The European markets were all lower on the week for a net loss of 1.9%. Seven of the eight indices we track here all in confirmed downtrends.

The Commodity equity group were all lower on the week for a loss of 1.1%. All three here are in confirmed downtrends.

The DJ World index is now in a confirmed downtrend for the first time since June, and it lost 1.45% on the week. Currently 70% of the world’s indices are in confirmed downtrends.

COMMODITIES

Bonds continue to downtrend losing 0.8% on the week.

Crude is still uptrending but lost 1.4% on the week.

Gold is still in a downtrend but gained 0.7% on the week.

The USD continues to downtrend losing 0.1% on the week.

NEXT WEEK



A busy one indeed. Monday: the NY FED at 8:30, then Capacity utilization at 9:15. Tuesday: the CPI, Current account balance, and NAHB housing. Wednesday: Housing starts, Building permits and the FED’s FOMC statement/press conference. Thursday: weekly Jobless claims, Existing home sales, the Philly FED and Leading indicators. Friday: Q3 GDP (est. +3.6 to +3.7%), and Options expiration. As for the FED, chairman Bernanke will give brief remarks Monday at the FED’s centennial celebration at 2pm. Best to your trading the last full trading week of the year!

Take a look some market indicator charts- Click all charts
$SPX - 60 min
SPX DAILY CHARTS
QUICK LOOK ALL MAJOR INDEX WEEKLY

$SPX with component chart 
$VIX
$CPC daily
QQQQ Daily 
COMPQ


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Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) Stock Technical Analysis December 16, 2013

The following is technical analysis on Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) stock for December 16, 2013

Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) Resistance, pivot &  Support Levels – 12/16/2013 

Resistance levels:  
Pivot point:  
Support levels: 
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Share of Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) trading over $147.Share of Tesla (TSLA) is up because Tesla Says German Agency’s Review Clears Model S Car AfterFires .Tesla (TSLA) will have resistance at $151-$155.Now with support between $140-$145. The next big pop will be U.S Gov't exonerating Model S another pop stock could see $200 area. Tesla (TSLA) has support at $118 which is 200 ema day moving average. . Tesla (TSLA) has dropped from $180 to $135 over the past two weeks. Stock should rebound from $110 area for long term buy may be with tight $105 tight stop. My Membership people know when  buy and sell option or stock in daily basis which very good profitable trade last few weeks in call and put side or stock buy or short side.

Technical Analysis Stock Charts: Charts Below
Daily chart


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Facebook, Inc. (FB) Technical Analysis December 16, 2013

The following is Facebook, Inc. (FB) Technical analysis for  December 16, 2013

Facebook, Inc. (FB) Resistance, pivot & Support Levels - 12/16/2013

Resistance levels:
Pivot point:
Support levels:
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Share of Facebook, Inc. (FB) is closed over $53 but stock is pop in ah because of  Facebook (FB) will be joining the S&P 500 following the Dec. 20 close, and will also be added to the S&P 100. The social networking giant is replacing test equipment vendor Teradyne (TER). FB has next resistance area $55-$57 which is over ipo high few days back. If you follow me my analysis I was keep telling $45-$46 was good buy last weeks and my stop will be $43 now.FB is buy near $40 any weakness My Membership people know when  buy and sell option or stock in daily basis which very good profitable trade last few weeks in stock or call and put side.How to trade in  Facebook, Inc. (FB) get my Membership Access. Here is live chart to look for trade.       
   
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Twitter Inc. (NYSE: TWTR) Stock Technical Analysis December 16, 2013

The following is technical analysis on Twitter Inc. (NYSE: TWTR) stock for December 16, 2013
Twitter Inc. (NYSE: TWTR) Resistance, pivot &  Support Levels – 12/16/2013

Resistance levels:

Pivot point:
Support levels:
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Share of Twitter Inc. (NYSE: TWTR) is trading over $59 which is new 52 weeks high.Twitter Inc. (NYSE: TWTR) has resistance $60+ and support at $50. This stock only for day trade now but longer term buy will be under $20 near future My Membership people know when  buy and sell option or stock in daily basis which very good profitable trade last few weeks in call and put side. More analysis in TWTR

Technical Analysis Stock Charts: Charts Below
Live chart


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Apple Inc (AAPL) Stock Technical Analysis December 16, 2013

The following is technical analysis on Apple Inc (AAPL) stock for December 16, 2013
Apple Inc AAPL Resistance, pivot &  Support Levels – 12/16/2013

Resistance levels:

Pivot point:
Support levels:
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Share of Apple Inc. (AAPL) stock is trading over  $554.Carl Icahn continues to  Apple (AAPL) and as long as he remains a shareholder, I don't see the stock dropping much from here.  Apple (AAPL) will have strong support at $545 and resistance at $575.Membership people know when  buy and sell option or stock in daily basis which very good profitable trade last few weeks in call and put side.How to trade in apple get my Membership Access. Apple Inc. (AAPL) should trade $600-$700 in 2014?. This is my one of the Top Pick for 2013. 

Technical Analysis Stock Charts: Charts Below
60m chart
Daily chart
Weekly chart
 

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