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Showing posts with label Market Overview. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Market Overview. Show all posts

Monday, August 24, 2015

Stocks plunge to historic losses after midday rebound loses steam 8/24/15

  • In one of the most volatile sessions in years, stocks opened to huge losses, recovered most of those losses and then retreated again to close with the biggest losses in four years.
  • The Dow dropped as much as 1,089 points in the first few minutes this morning before rebounding as traders said mutual funds and other investors began stepping in to buy stocks, but ended the tumultuous session down nearly 600 points, or 3.6%; the blue-chip index ended with its biggest three-day point loss in history at 1,477 points.
  • "Markets remain very, very vulnerable to bad news [out of] emerging markets," says Dan Veru, chief investment officer at Palisade Capital Management, who attributes some of the sharp swings to ETFs since "it's so easy to move a bajillion dollars in a nanosecond."
  • Today's selling was far-reaching with just 136 NYSE listings ending positive while 3,079 names posted losses; all 10 S&P sectors finished in the red, with losses ranging from 3.1% (telecom services) to 5.2% (energy).
  • The energy sector widened its Q3 decline to 20.5%, as crude oil tumbled 5.5% to fresh six-and-a-half years lows at $38.24/bbl.
  • Investor participation surged, with more than 1.6B shares changing hands at the NYSE floor.
  • U.S. Treasury yields fell for the fourth straight day, with the 10-year yield dropping to an intraday low of 1.976% and closing 5.6 bps lower at 1.997%, its lowest point since April 28; the benchmark yield has plunged more than 50 bps since June 10, when it reached its highest point this year at 2.478%.
 For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, 
http://daytradingstock-blog.blogspot.com/

Sunday, August 23, 2015

Averages suffer worst week since 2011 -8/23/15

  • The major averages all plunged another 3%-plus to close the week.
  • The Dow (NYSEARCA:DIA) lost 5.8% for the week - it's worst weekly stretch since September 2011 when the European debt crisis was at its peak and the U.S. had just been downgraded. The S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) fell 5.5% - also its worst week since Sept. 2011. The Nasdaq (NASDAQ:QQQ) fell 6.7%, its worst week since Aug. 2011.
  • The Dow is lower by 7.6% YTD, the S&P 500 3.75%, and the Nasdaq 0.55%.
  • The 10-year Treasury yield slipped three basis points to 2.04%, its lowest print since before the summer, and oil briefly fell below $40 per barrel (it's back to $40.34 at pixel time).
  • Apple's (AAPL -6.1%) decline today put that stock 20% below its level of just one month ago, and the shares are in the red for the year to the tune of 4.2%. On a year-over-year basis, they're higher by 7.95%.
 For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, 
http://daytradingstock-blog.blogspot.com/

SPX Technical Analysis -August 24-28, 2015


For 8/24 SPX Resistance, Pivot & Support
Resistance R3 2076.20, R2 2055.14, R1 2013.01
Pivot Point 1991.95Support  S1 1989.82 S2 1928.76, S3 1886.63

For Weekly 8/24-8/28 SPX Weekly Resistance, Pivot and Support
Resistance R3 2191.85, R2 2147.66, R1 2054.27
Pivot Point 2095.08
Support  S1 1926.69, S2 1882.50, S3 1794.11





The ELLIOTT WAVE lives on - Anthony Caldaro  said

The market started the week at SPX 2092. After a gap down opening on Monday the market quickly recovered to hit SPX 2103. It traded at that level again on Tuesday, and then ran into three straight gap down openings for the rest of the week. On Friday the SPX hit 1971 and closed there. For the week the SPX/DOW were -5.8%, the NDX/NAZ were -7.1%, and the DJ World index was -5.3%. On the economic front reports came in slightly to the positive. On the uptick: the NAHB, the CPI, housing starts, existing home sales, the Philly FED and the GDPN. On the downtick: the NY FED, building permits, leading indicators, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the next report on Q2 GDP, Durable goods, and PCE prices.

With Thursday’s/Friday’s market activity, we not only updated the hourly chart to match the daily chart. But also shifted the first significant wave of the downtrend over to the SPX 2052 level. This would put it more in proportion with the recent selloff. At Friday’s SPX 1971 low Minor C is within one point of a 1.618 relationship (1972) to Minor A. Should the 1973 pivot range hold the market could experience a good rally next week. If not, the 1956, 1929 and even 1901 pivots would be next.

After four years of a rising market, and the loss of the six month support at SPX 2040, it appears many are hedging or simply taking profits. Short term support is at the 1956 and 1929 pivots, with resistance at the 1973 and 2019 pivots. Short term momentum ended the week extremely oversold. Best to your weekend and week!

FOREIGN MARKETS

The Asian markets were all lower for a loss of 5.6%.
The European markets were all lower as well for a loss of 6.3%.
The Commodity equity group also all lower losing 6.0%.
The DJ World index lost 5.3%.

COMMODITIES

Bonds remain in an uptrend and gained 1.1%.
Crude remains in a downtrend and lost 4.1%.
Gold has nearly confirmed an uptrend and gained 4.2%.
The USD confirmed a downtrend and lost 1.6%.

NEXT WEEK

Tuesday: Case-Shiller, FHFA housing, New home sales and Consumer confidence. Wednesday: Durable goods orders. Thursday: Q2 GDP (est. +3.1%), weekly Jobless claims and Pending home sales. Friday: Personal income/spending, PCE prices, and Consumer sentiment. Saturday: a Jackson Hole speech by FED vice chair Fischer.

Take a look some market indicator charts- Click all charts
$SPX - 60 min
SPX DAILY CHARTS
QUICK LOOK ALL MAJOR INDEX WEEKLY

$SPX with component chart 
$VIX
$CPC daily
QQQQ Daily 
COMPAQ


For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, 
http://daytradingstock-blog.blogspot.com

Sunday, January 11, 2015

SPX Technical Analysis January 12-16, 2015

FOR 1/12 SPX resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 2086.15, R2 2075.29, R1 2060.05
Pivot Point 2049.19
Support  S1 2033.95, S2 2023.09S3 2007.85

For Weekly 1/12-1/16 SPX weekly resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 2147.33, R2 2105.88, R1 2075.34
Pivot Point 2033.89
Support S1 2003.35,  S2 1961.90, S3 1931.36


The first full week of 2015 starts off like a roller coaster. The market started the week at SPX 2058. After a gap down opening on Monday the market dropped to SPX 1992 by midday Tuesday. Then it rallied to SPX 2064, helped by two gap up openings, by late Thursday afternoon. Then on Friday it sold off again, hitting SPX 2038 by late morning, then ending the week at 2045. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.60%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.45%, and the DJ World was -0.80%. Economic reports for the week were generally positive. On the uptick: auto sales, the ADP, consumer credit, wholesale inventories, the MMIS, plus the unemployment rate, weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit all improved. On the downtick: factory orders, ISM services, monthly payrolls and the WLEI. Next week will be highlighted by the FED’s Beige book, the CPI/PPI and Industrial production.

This uptrend got off to a good start as it rallied from SPX 1973 to 2094 in only two weeks. Then we observed a nearly 5% decline to SPX 1992 by Tuesday this week.Should the market drop below SPX 2030 it is possible a retest of 1992 or lower would follow. Once the market clears SPX 2064 Micro 3 should be well underway. Short term support is at SPX 2030 and the 2019 pivot, with resistance at the 2070 and 2085 pivots. Short term momentum declined after getting extremely overbought on Thursday.

FOREIGN MARKETS

Asian markets were quite mixed on the week for a net loss of 0.3%.
European market were mostly lower for a net loss of 2.9%.
The Commodity equity group were mixed and lost 0.8%.
The DJ World index lost 0.8%.

COMMODITIES

Bonds continue to uptrend gaining 1.1% on the week.
Crude remains in a prolonged downtrend losing 8.4% on the week.
Gold is also uptrending gaining 2.2% on the week.
The USD remains in a prolonged uptrend gaining 0.8% on the week.

NEXT WEEK


Tuesday: Treasury budget. Wednesday: Retail sales, Export/Import prices, Business inventories and the FED’s beige book. Thursday: weekly Jobless claims, the PPI, and the NY/Philly FED. Friday: Industrial production, the CPI, Consumer sentiment and it is Options expiration.

Take a look some market indicator charts- Click all charts
$SPX - 60 min
SPX DAILY CHARTS
QUICK LOOK ALL MAJOR INDEX WEEKLY

$SPX with component chart 
$VIX
$CPC daily
QQQQ Daily 
COMPAQ


For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, 
http://daytradingstock-blog.blogspot.com

Saturday, November 1, 2014

SPX Technical Analysis November 3-7, 2014

FOR 11/3 SPX resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 2040.75, R2 2029.47, R1 2023.76
Pivot Point 2012.48
Support  S1 2006.77, S2 1995.49 S3 1989.78

For Weekly 11/3-11/7 SPX weekly resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 2107.19, R2 2062.69, R1 2040.87
Pivot Point 1995.87
Support S1 1973.55,  S2 1929.05, S3 1906.73


After last week’s big gain SPX 1887 to 1965, the market rallied strongly again this week. Monday, however, started the week with a gap down to SPX 1951. The market then rallied to SPX 1991 just before the FOMC statement, ending QE 3, on Wednesday. Then after an initial pullback to SPX 1969, the market rallied for the rest of the week, helped by a gap up on Friday, to SPX 2018. For the week the SPX/DOW were +3.1%, the NDX/NAZ were +3.1%, and the DJ World index was +2.5%. On the economic front there was a higher than expected report for Q3, and positive reports ended slightly higher. On the uptick: pending homes sales, consumer confidence/sentiment, Q3 GDP, personal income, PCE prices, and the Chicago PMI. On the downtick: durable goods orders, Case-Shiller, personal spending, the WLEI, the monetary base, and unemployment claims rose. Next week will be highlighted by monthly Payrolls, ISM and Auto sales.

After completing a somewhat complex zigzag from SPX 2019 to 1821 in three weeks, the market abruptly reversed into one of the best rallies during the entire bull market. We initially expected a choppy rally off the SPX 1821 low. But when it made such quick upside progress we quickly aborted that idea. Our upside targets were the OEW 1956 and 1973 pivots for this uptrend. The market took only seven days to clear the 1956 pivot. When it do so we noticed every trading day had a higher high and higher low than the day before. That trend continued throughout this week as well, even though Monday’s high only matched Friday’s.

Short term support is at SPX 2000 and the 1973 pivot, with resistance at the 2019 and 2070 pivots. Short term momentum continues to display negative divergences, but the pullbacks have been small.


FOREIGN MARKETS 

Asian markets were all higher for the week, gaining 3.2%.
European market were mostly higher, gaining 1.6%.
The Commodity equity group were all higher, gaining 3.4%.
The DJ World index gained 2.5%.

COMMODITIES 

Bonds appear to be down trending and lost 0.5% on the week.
Crude is still down trending and lost 0.9% on the week.
Gold resumed its downtrend losing 4.8% on the week.
The USD is still up trending and gained 1.4% on the week.

NEXT WEEK

Monday: ISM manufacturing, Construction spending and Auto sales at 10am. Tuesday: Trade deficit and Factory orders. Wednesday: the ADP index and ISM services. Thursday: weekly Jobless claims, and a speech from FED governor Powell. Friday: monthly Payrolls, Consumer credit, plus speeches from FED chair Yellen and FED governor Tarullo. Busy week. Best to your weekend and week!

Take a look some market indicator charts- Click all charts
$SPX - 60 min
SPX DAILY CHARTS
QUICK LOOK ALL MAJOR INDEX WEEKLY

$SPX with component chart 
$VIX
$CPC daily
QQQQ Daily 
COMPAQ


For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, 
http://daytradingstock-blog.blogspot.com

Saturday, October 25, 2014

SPX Technical Analysis October 27-31, 2014

FOR 10/27 SPX resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 1990.14, R2 1977.70, R1 1971.14
Pivot Point 1958.70
Support  S1 1952.14, S2 1939.70, S3 1933.14

For Weekly 10/27-10/31 SPX weekly resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 2075.43, R2 2020.35, R1 1992.46
Pivot Point 1937.38
Support S1 1909.49,  S2 1954.41, S3 1826.82

What a week in US market! One impressive rally this week! The week started off at SPX 1887. After a notable pullback to SPX 1882 the market rallied straight up to 1949 by Wednesday. Then after a pullback to SPX 1927 on Wednesday, the market rallied to 1965 to end the week. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 3.35%, the NDX/NAZ gained 5.60%, and the DJ World index gained 3.10%. On the economic front things were not as rosy, as positive reports nudged out negative ones. On the uptick: existing home sales, the CPI, the FHFA index and leading indicators. On the downtick: new home sales, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week is FOMC week! Plus we get reports on Q3 GDP, the PCE and the Chicago PMI.


During the Major wave A downtrend we noted the decline was occurring in a series of seven waves sets. The market was quite volatile and making notable waves several times a day. The last decline was also seven waves into the SPX 1821 low. And then suddenly the market changed its characteristics. As the rally progressed from the low it was quite volatile, but after several days it started to settle down. At the peak of the volatility, into the low and coming out of it, we counted ten waves on each of those two days.



 Our upside target has been the OEW 1973 pivot range, so we expect this last rally to top within the 1966-1980 range. Of note, Int. wave B of Major wave A ended at SPX 1978. Short term support is at the 1956 and 1929 pivots, with resistance at the 1973 and 2019 pivots. Short term momentum continues to form a negative divergence as the market has worked its way higher. The first 10 point reversal off of any high could suggest the top has been achieved. Best to your trading!



FOREIGN MARKETS



The Asian markets were nearly all higher and gained a net 1.8% on the week.

The European markets were all higher gaining 3.2% on the week.

The Commodity equity group were mixed and lost 2.7% on the week.

The DJ World index gained 3.1% on the week.



COMMODITIES



Bonds continue to uptrend but lost 0.5% on the week.

Crude remains in a downtrend and lost 2.0% on the week.

Gold is trying to uptrend, but lost 0.6% on the week.

The USD looks like it is heading into a downtrend, but gained 0.6% on the week.

NEXT WEEK

Earning Calendar October 27-31, 2014


Monday: Pending home sales at 10am. Tuesday: Durable goods orders, Case-Shiller and Consumer confidence. Wednesday: FOMC statement at 2pm. Thursday: weekly Jobless claims and Q3 GDP (est. +2.65). Friday: Personal income/spending, the PCE, the Chicago PMI, and Consumer sentiment. This certainly looks like it could be quite a wild week. Best to your weekend and week!

Take a look some market indicator charts- Click all charts
$SPX - 60 min
SPX DAILY CHARTS
QUICK LOOK ALL MAJOR INDEX WEEKLY

$SPX with component chart 
$VIX
$CPC daily
QQQQ Daily 
COMPAQ


For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, 
http://daytradingstock-blog.blogspot.com

Sunday, October 19, 2014

SPX Technical Analysis October 20-24, 2014

FOR 10/20 SPX resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 19934.89, R2 1916.52, R1 1901.64
Pivot Point 1883.27
Support  S1 1868.39, S2 1850.02, S3 1835.14

For Weekly 10/20-10/24 SPX weekly resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 2071.11, R2 1964.60, R1 1925.68
Pivot Point 1873.17
Support S1 1873.25,  S2 1781.74 S3 1742.82

What a week in US market! After the SPX dropped 3.1% last week ending at 1906, it started off quiet enough with a push to 1912 by around noon Monday. Then the bottom fell out, as the market dropped, gyrated on Tuesday, then dropped to 1821 by early afternoon Wednesday. After that it staged one heck of a come back rally, hitting SPX 1898 on Friday then ending the week at 1887. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.0%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.9%, and the DJ World index dropped 0.8%. Economic reports for the week were biased 8:6 to the positive. On the up tick: business inventories, industrial production, housing starts, building permits, consumer sentiment, the monetary base, plus the budget surplus and weekly jobless claims improved. On the down tick: retail sales, the PPI, the NY/Philly FED, the NAHB and the WLEI. Next week is highlighted with the CPI, Existing/New home sales, and Leading indicators.

If we are indeed in Major wave B we should observe a three Intermediate wave advance, with three Minor waves within each Int. wave. The same as Major wave A only in reverse. From the SPX 1821 low we have had quite a complex rally:1869-1835-1868-1852-1876-1857-1898-1878-1892.  Notice nearly all these waves overlap each other as expected. We certainly would not consider this an impulsive advance. Thus far it appears the entire rally from SPX 1821-1898 can be counted as Minor wave a of Int. wave A. The pullback to SPX 1878 is probably part of Minor wave b. Which suggests some downside early Monday, providing the market does not exceed SPX 1898 first. After Minor b completes we should get a Minor c rally to the 1929 pivot ending Int. wave A. Keep in mind this market remains quite volatile with triple digit DOW swings nearly every day. 

Short term support is at the 1869 and 1841 pivots, with resistance at 1901 and 2019 pivots. Short term momentum ended the week below neutral after getting extremely overbought.

FOREIGN MARKETS
Asian markets were mostly lower on the week for a net 1.0% loss.
European markets were sharply lower all week but rebounded Friday for a net 1.9% loss.
The Commodity equity group were all higher for net gain of 0.6%.
The DJ World index lost 0.8% on the week.

COMMODITIES
Bonds had a wild week, remain in an uptrend, and gained 0.9% on the week.
Crude continues to downtrend losing 3.0% on the week.
Gold is trying to uptrend and gained 1.2% on the week.
The USD looks like it is in a downtrend, unconfirmed, and lost 0.9% on the week. 

NEXT WEEK

Earning Calendar October 20-24, 2014


Tuesday: Existing home sales. Wednesday: the CPI. Thursday: weekly Jobless claims, FHFA housing prices, and Leading indicators. Friday: New home sales. Best to your weekend and week!

Take a look some market indicator charts- Click all charts
$SPX - 60 min
SPX DAILY CHARTS
QUICK LOOK ALL MAJOR INDEX WEEKLY

$SPX with component chart 
$VIX
$CPC daily
QQQQ Daily 
COMPAQ


For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, 
http://daytradingstock-blog.blogspot.com

Sunday, October 5, 2014

SPX Technical Analysis October 6-10, 2014

FOR 10/6 SPX resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 1999.75, R2 1985.47, R1 1976.68
Pivot Point 1962.40
Support  S1 1953.61, S2 1939.33, S3 1930.54

For Weekly 10/6-10/10 SPX weekly resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 2052.51, R2 2048.84, R1 1993.37
Pivot Point 1959.70
Support S1 1934.23,  S2 1900.46 S3 1875.09


Quite a volatile week. The market started at SPX 1983 on Monday, gaped down to open the week, rallied back to slightly above 1983 on Tuesday, then declined, without any gap downs, to 1926 by midday Thursday. Then the market rallied, with a gap up opening on Friday, and still ended the week lower. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.7%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.7%, and the DJ World index lost 2.0% again. On the economic front there was good news and not so good news. On the uptick: personal income/spending, the PCE, the ADP, monthly payrolls; plus the unemployment rate, weekly jobless claims and trade deficit all improved. On the downtick: pending home sales, construction spending, Case-Shiller, the Chicago PMI, ISM manufacturing/services, factory orders, the WLEI and the monetary base. Next week we get the FOMC minutes, export/import prices and consumer credit.


Short term support is at the 1956 and 1929 pivots, with resistance at the 1973 pivot and SPX 1985/1986. Short term momentum ended the week overbought.

Short term support is at SPX 1956 and SPX 1941, with resistance at the 2000 and 2019pivots.


FOREIGN MARKETS
The Asian markets were mostly lower for a net loss of 1.7%.
The European markets were all lower losing 2.5%.
The Commodity equity group were also all lower losing 3.9%.
The DJ World index remains in a downtrend losing 2.0%.

COMMODITIES
Bonds are up trending again and gained 0.7% on the week.
Crude remains in a downtrend losing 3.9% on the week.
Gold is also still down trending and lost 2.4% on the week.
The USD continues its uptrend gaining 1.2% on the week.

NEXT WEEK

Earning Calendar October 6-10, 2014


Tuesday: Consumer credit. Wednesday: the FOMC minutes. Thursday: weekly Jobless claims and Wholesale inventories. Friday: Export/Import prices and the Treasury Budget. Quiet week for economic reports, but expecting stock market volatility to continue. Best to your weekend and week!

Take a look some market indicator charts- Click all charts
$SPX - 60 min
SPX DAILY CHARTS
QUICK LOOK ALL MAJOR INDEX WEEKLY

$SPX with component chart 
$VIX
$CPC daily
QQQQ Daily 
COMPAQ


For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, 
http://daytradingstock-blog.blogspot.com

Sunday, September 28, 2014

SPX Technical Analysis September 29 - October 3, 2014

FOR 9/29 SPX resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 2012.06, R2 199.51, R1 1991.08
Pivot Point 1978.53
Support  S1 1970.10, S2 157.55, S3 1949.12

For Weekly 9/29-10/3 SPX weekly resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 2048.78, R2 2028.89, R1 2005.77
Pivot Point 1985.88
Support S1 1962.76,  S2 1942.87 S3 1919.75


After establishing an all time high on OPEX Friday a week ago the market went into volatility mode this week. Every day we observed the DOW moving triple digits: three down and two up. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.2%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.3%, and the DJ World index lost 2.0%. Economic reports for the week were skewed to the downside. On the up tick: the FHFA, new home sales and Q2 GDP. On the down tick: existing home sales, durable goods, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week, end of month/quarter, will be highlighted by Friday’s Payrolls report and the PCE and ISM during the week.

As noted above we have an odd configuration from the SPX 1905 low that could be counted as three waves to SPX 2019, or five waves. The activity since that high is clearly corrective: SPX 1979-2000-1966-1986. The bulls could count the SPX 1966 low as the end of Minor wave 2, with Minor wave 3 underway. The bears can count the SPX 1966 low as the end of Minor wave A, with Minor B underway. The bulls need a rally above SPX 2019 to confirm their Minor 3 scenario is underway. The bears need a decline below SPX 1966 to confirm their Primary IV scenario is underway. Bullish and bearish these are our two parameters: SPX 1966 and SPX 2019.

Short term support is at the 1973 and 1956 pivots, with resistance at SPX 2000 and the 2019 pivot. Short term momentum ended the week overbought.

Short term support is at SPX 1973 and SPX 1956, with resistance at the 2000 and 2019pivots.

FOREIGN MARKETS

The Asian markets were nearly all lower losing a net 1.2% on the week.
The European markets were all lower losing 2.2% on the week.
The Commodity equity group were all lower losing 1.2% on the week.
The DJ World index lost 2.0% on the week.

COMMODITIES

Bonds continue to downtrend but gained 0.3% on the week.
Crude remains in a downtrend but gained 1.7% on the week.
Gold is also down trending but gained 0.3% on the week.
The USD remains in an uptrend gaining 1.1% on the week.

NEXT WEEK

Earning Calendar September 29-October 3, 2014


Monday: Personal income/spending, and the PCE at 8:30, then Pending home sales at 10am. Tuesday: Case-Shiller, Consumer confidence, the Chicago PMI, and a speech from FED governor Powell. Wednesday: the ADP, ISM manufacturing, Construction spending and Auto sales. Thursday: weekly Jobless claims and Factory orders. Friday: Payrolls (est. +228K), the Trade deficit and ISM services. Best to your weekend and week!

Take a look some market indicator charts- Click all charts
$SPX - 60 min
SPX DAILY CHARTS
QUICK LOOK ALL MAJOR INDEX WEEKLY

$SPX with component chart 
$VIX
$CPC daily
QQQQ Daily 
COMPAQ


For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, 
http://daytradingstock-blog.blogspot.com

Sunday, September 21, 2014

SPX Technical Analysis September 22-26, 2014

FOR 9/22 SPX resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 2030.24, R2 2024.75, R1 2017.57
Pivot Point 2012.08
Support  S1 2004.90 , S2 1999.41, S3 1992.23

For Weekly 9/22-9/26 SPX weekly resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 2067.72, R2 2043.49, R1 2026.94
Pivot Point 2002.71
Support S1 1986.71,  S2 1961.93, S3 1945.38


The wild and volatile week we expected was nearly all to the upside. The market started the week unchanged, completed its 1.5 week pullback on Tuesday, then made new highs on Thursday and Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.5%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.5%, and the DJ World index rose 0.3%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the up tick: NY FED, NAHB, leading indicators, WLEI, monetary base, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: industrial production, capacity utilization, CPI, housing starts, building permits and the Philly FED. Next week we get more reports on Housing, Durable goods orders, and Q2 GDP.

From the early August downtrend low at SPX 1905 we counted five waves up to SPX 2011. Waves 1 and 2 at 1945 and 1928. Wave 3 subdivided into five waves: 1964-1942-1995-1985-2005. Wave 4 was a simple decline to SPX 1991. Then wave 5 unfolded in a diagonal triangle: 2006-1995-2009-1998-2011.

From that SPX 1979 low the market rallied quite nicely to 2004 on Wednesday, and then had a series of reversals right after the FED released their FOMC statement. Since none of these swings actually registered quantitatively, we are considering them just post-FOMC noise. The market then gapped up on Thursday and Friday, hitting SPX 2019, and then had its first quantitative pullback since the low.

Short term support is at SPX 2000 and SPX 1993, with resistance at the 2019 and 2070 pivots. Short term momentum ended the week at neutral.


FOREIGN MARKETS

The Asian markets ended the week mixed with a net gain of 0.1%.
The European markets were mostly higher gaining 0.4%.
The Commodity equity group was mostly lower losing 0.9%.
The DJ World index gained 0.3%.

COMMODITIES

Bonds continue to downtrend but ended about even on the week.
Crude remains in a downtrend losing 0.5% on the week.
Gold is also in a downtrend losing 1.2% on the week.
The USD continues its strong uptrend gaining 0.7% on the week.

NEXT WEEK

Earning Calendar September 22-26, 2014


Monday: Existing home sales at 10am. Tuesday: the FHFA housing index, then FED governor Powell gives at speech at 9:20am. Wednesday: New home sales. Thursday: weekly Jobless claims and Durable goods orders. Friday: Q2 GDP (est. +4.6%) and Consumer sentiment. Would be quite impressed if GDP is actually reported that high. Best to your weekend and week!

Take a look some market indicator charts- Click all charts
$SPX - 60 min
SPX DAILY CHARTS
QUICK LOOK ALL MAJOR INDEX WEEKLY

$SPX with component chart 
$VIX
$CPC daily
QQQQ Daily 
COMPAQ


For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, 
http://daytradingstock-blog.blogspot.com

Saturday, September 13, 2014

SPX Technical Analysis September 15-19, 2014

FOR 9/15 SPX resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 2011.24, R2 2003.99, R1 1994.76
Pivot Point 1987.51
Support  S1 1978.28 , S2 1971.03, S3 1961.80

For Weekly 9/15-9/19 SPX weekly resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 2028.63, R2 2017.90, R1 2001.72
Pivot Point 1990.99
Support S1 1974.81,  S2 1964.08, S3 1947.90


After closing within three points of the all time high last week, the market went into a choppy pullback mode this week. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.0%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.4%, and the DJ World index was -1.4%. On the economic front, reports came in mostly to the positive. On the up tick: consumer credit, retail sales, wholesale/business inventories, import prices, consumer sentiment, and the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: export prices, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims increased. Next week is FOMC week, and we get reports on Industrial production and Housing.

So the OEW 1973 pivot appears to be the Fibonacci fit on both the larger and smaller waves of this pullback. Short term support is at the 1973 and 1956 pivots, with resistance at SPX 2011 and the 2019 pivot. Short term momentum ended the week just under neutral.

Support for the SPX remains at 1980, 1973, 1960 and then 1930 resistance at 2011 and then 2019.Best to your trading what sets up to be a wild week ahead. Best to your trading!

FOREIGN MARKETS

Asian markets were mostly lower for a net loss of 0.5%.
European markets were mostly lower and lost 1.3%.
The Commodity equity group were all lower losing 3.4%.
The DJ World index lost 1.4%.

COMMODITIES

Bonds confirmed a downtrend this week, -0.9%, as yields have again began to rise.
Crude remains in a downtrend losing 1.2%.
Gold continues to downtrend losing 3.0% on the week.
The USD uptrend continues gaining 0.5%.

NEXT WEEK

Earning Calendar September 15-19, 2014


Monday: the NY FED at 8:30, then Industrial production at 9:15. Tuesday: the PPI, and senate testimony from FED director Hunter. Wednesday: the CPI, the NAHB, and the FOMC statement. Thursday: weekly Jobless claims, Housing starts, Building permits, the Philly FED, and a speech from FED chair Yelled. Friday: Leading indicators and Options expiration. By the looks of things next week could be quite volatile. Best to your weekend and week!

Take a look some market indicator charts- Click all charts
$SPX - 60 min
SPX DAILY CHARTS
QUICK LOOK ALL MAJOR INDEX WEEKLY

$SPX with component chart 
$VIX
$CPC daily
QQQQ Daily 
COMPAQ


For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, 
http://daytradingstock-blog.blogspot.com

Sunday, September 7, 2014

SPX Technical Analysis September 8-12, 2014

FOR 9/8 SPX resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 2031.19, R2 2019.45, R1 2013.58
Pivot Point 2001.84
Support  S1 1995.97 , S2 1984.23, S3 1978.36

For Weekly 9/8-9/12 SPX weekly resistance, pivot & support
Resistance R3 2036.95, R2 2024.06, R1 2015.88
Pivot Point 2002.99
Support S1 1994.81,  S2 1981.92, S3 1973.74


Summer holiday traders returned this week in the sell mode. Every new high, Tuesday Thursday, was sold within the first hour and a half, or less, of trading. But the market managed to turn the tide on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.20%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.15%, and the DJ World index was +0.20%. On the economic front, positive and negative reports came in about even. On the up tick: ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, factory orders, the unemployment rate, and the trade deficit improved. On the downtick: the ADP, payrolls, the WLEI, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get a look at Consumer credit, Retail sales and Business inventories.

Short term support is at SPX 1990 and the 1973 pivot, with resistance at SPX 2011 and the 2019 pivot. Short term momentum ended the week overbought.

The short term wave pattern defined above is easily seem in the above chart. We labeled the recent high with a 5 to indicate that five waves had completed from SPX 1905. Since we are not completely sure what degree it was we will leave that labeling for now until the inflection point clears. Recent corrections, during Jan/Feb and July/Aug, have corrected about 50% of the previous uptrend. If they were a series of 1-2’s, as the alternate count suggests, then a 50% pullback of the recent SPX 1905-2011 rally would be quite normal. Another interesting juncture in this relentless bull market.

Support for the SPX remains at 1990, 1973, 1960 and then 1930 resistance at 211 and then 2019.Best to your trading what sets up to be a wild week ahead. Best to your trading!

FOREIGN MARKETS

Asian markets were mostly higher for a net gain of 1.4%.
European markets were all higher for a gain of 2.8%.
The Commodity equity group were mostly higher gaining 1.7%.
The DJ World index is up trending and gained 0.2%.


COMMODITIES

Bonds continue to uptrend but lost 0.6% on the week.
Crude has been quite volatile this week, remains in a downtrend and lost 2.7%.
Gold is still down trending losing 1.6% on the week.
The USD uptrend continues and it gained 1.3% on the week.

NEXT WEEK

Earning Calendar September 8-12, 2014


Monday: Consumer credit at 3pm. Tuesday: Senate testimony by FED governor Tarullo. Wednesday: Wholesale inventories. Thursday: weekly Jobless claims and the Budget deficit. Friday: Retail sales, Export/Import prices, Consumer sentiment, and Business inventories. Best to your weekend and week!

Take a look some market indicator charts- Click all charts
$SPX - 60 min
SPX DAILY CHARTS
QUICK LOOK ALL MAJOR INDEX WEEKLY

$SPX with component chart 
$VIX
$CPC daily
QQQQ Daily 
COMPAQ


For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, 
http://daytradingstock-blog.blogspot.com